I got Schmidtberger pulling the upset in semi's and taking a win in the finals at 130 in 4A. Wouldn't say that is a dark horse but he has a tough road and I'm sure most have their $$ on Moeder.
I'll put my money on Moeder anyday no matter where you put him in the bracket. In my opinion he has seen a lot tougher competition than most of his opponents. I do not think Schmidtberger is up to par, but we will see.