Because of the fact that the freshmen wrestlers will be facing more juniors and seniors at the higher weight classes, you have to give the lighter weight classes the best chance of in reality becoming a 4 time State Champion. One wrestler now who has to be given some consideration is RJ Nill of St. Thomas Aquinas High School who is undefeated at 112 this year. He just won The Bobcat Wrestling Classic, which is one of the best tournaments of the year.

The odds of this happening are pretty low, I would think even for a very successful Freshman wrestler like RJ Nill at this point of his Freshman year. I would say he has about a 15% chance at this point. If he would win his first year, I would automatically increase his chance to 50%. Then if he goes on to win Sophomore year, I would give him a 75% chance. If he would then win his Junior year, I would give him a 90% chance to complete the feat in his Senior year. The best I would give anyone's chance going into his Freshman year would be 5 to 10%. For instance if Jared Hensley and Marvio Tischhauser win another State title this year as eight graders against the returning high school Freshmen, I would put their chances at 10%. I am saying RJ is at 15% right now because so far this season he has more than proven himself against some very good high school competition.