ManhattanFan: I can understand why you think Manion won't be a factor, but I think you've only seen two of Manion's matches this year, both losses, and neither very pretty. These are two of only five losses he's had this year. You haven't seen his quality wins, including a pin against Essex in Newton, and major decisions gainst Essex and Josh Hermreck in duals. Manion is very good, but in streaks. This is why I agree with wrestling4life. If Manion beats Patterson in the first round, I think he'll win out. If he loses, it may be a short weekend.
Also a fact about last year at state, since it matters to you: Manion beat the sixth placer fairly easily in the first round. He lost to the third placer in the second. Shawn Bunch sent an excellent wrestler (Malone from Emporia, 4th place) to the back side of the bracket who beat Manion in the consolation semis. There is no shame in this, and it doesn't mean Johnson is better this year. That is going to be decided this weekend.